Category Archives: Posts

Aging and Longevity in Japan
Japan is easily the oldest country with the longest life expectancy. But they aren’t thrilled with the situation. For a start, how do they do it? Everybody has the national health insurance system, and some people get additional private insurance

Aging and Longevity in Japan
Japan is easily the oldest country with the longest life expectancy. But they aren’t thrilled with the situation. For a start, how do they do it? Everybody has the national health insurance system, and some people get additional private insurance

Hong Kong’s view of the future of Hong Kong
A clever person I met in HK thinks very differently about the future of China-US relations. Quite the opposite of how many think in NY. 1. China can’t afford a war over Taiwan. The country is under too much economic

Hong Kong’s view of the future of Hong Kong
A clever person I met in HK thinks very differently about the future of China-US relations. Quite the opposite of how many think in NY. 1. China can’t afford a war over Taiwan. The country is under too much economic

Bob Dylan 2025
I predict the Oscar goes to… Because of: #resist and protest, country and Americana of a better caliber, high Art, the ingenue Timothee,

Bob Dylan 2025
I predict the Oscar goes to… Because of: #resist and protest, country and Americana of a better caliber, high Art, the ingenue Timothee,

If social media is quittable, where should you post?
Maybe blogs make a comeback. Or some other user-controlled platform. The onchain options don’t seems to be trending really. But that would be the likely place. Certainly not this WordPress blog, right? Though witness how well podcasts and newsletters are

If social media is quittable, where should you post?
Maybe blogs make a comeback. Or some other user-controlled platform. The onchain options don’t seems to be trending really. But that would be the likely place. Certainly not this WordPress blog, right? Though witness how well podcasts and newsletters are
Bird flu
California declared a state of emergency a few weeks ago. A bunch of lions and such died at a zoo in Washington. There’s worry about livestock in Texas. Maybe we have the makings of another pandemic.
Bird flu
California declared a state of emergency a few weeks ago. A bunch of lions and such died at a zoo in Washington. There’s worry about livestock in Texas. Maybe we have the makings of another pandemic.

ALWAYS REAL: Ship while you sleep
The 2014 classic on how to make startups. Still 100% true. It often gets mentioned (to me anyway) when founders are comparing notes on how to get moving. If you are one of those founders who posted about this brief

ALWAYS REAL: Ship while you sleep
The 2014 classic on how to make startups. Still 100% true. It often gets mentioned (to me anyway) when founders are comparing notes on how to get moving. If you are one of those founders who posted about this brief

Davos vs. Forecasters: primary and presidential
The “Davos Consensus” this year says Trump will win the US presidential election. Here’s what the best prediction market (Good Judgment Project at Penn, aka “Superforecasters”) says: Though the prediction’s forecast has been rising: The source. 40% is not a

Davos vs. Forecasters: primary and presidential
The “Davos Consensus” this year says Trump will win the US presidential election. Here’s what the best prediction market (Good Judgment Project at Penn, aka “Superforecasters”) says: Though the prediction’s forecast has been rising: The source. 40% is not a

2024: the other side and the Prediction Consensus
Once in a while I send around an outlook for the year ahead. Here it is, sent Dec 31 2023:: Greetings from the other side — It feels like we all need it this year: the other side of New Year’s Eve. Many of the folks I speak with were

2024: the other side and the Prediction Consensus
Once in a while I send around an outlook for the year ahead. Here it is, sent Dec 31 2023:: Greetings from the other side — It feels like we all need it this year: the other side of New Year’s Eve. Many of the folks I speak with were

Unsolved problems for AI, especially in health and bio
AI is moving so fast right now! Well that was a few months back. It felt like folks were discovering whole new amazing things daily. Remember that whole “tell AI to start a business for me and run it” thing?

Unsolved problems for AI, especially in health and bio
AI is moving so fast right now! Well that was a few months back. It felt like folks were discovering whole new amazing things daily. Remember that whole “tell AI to start a business for me and run it” thing?
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