Secretary Bessent:
China’s calculations:
The trade imbalance is three things not one:
- Goods (they net export a lot)
- Services (they net export a little)
- Multinational company revenues (they are way behind)
What if China thinks like Bessent?
- Match tariffs
yesterday
- Sell Treasuries
yields are up (not down)
- Mess with the basis trade
yesterday
- Mess with the basis trade
- Seize US corporate assets in PRC
- Cash in banks
- Business units: Apple, Microsoft, Tesla, Pfizer, GM, Intel, J&J, P&G, Starbucks, DuPont
- Patents and trademarks. Clone everything
- Freeze select exports, “$1 parts that disable $50k products”
- Block rare earth and lithium, raw and refined
- Hold select commodity semiconductors
- Lithium-ion batteries
- Block market access to Chinese buyers
- China is the 3rd largest market for US goods
- Soybeans, airplanes
- Plus the usual (American?) bag of tricks like deport, disappear and arrest (business) people randomly
WSJ itemizes: https://apple.news/A3hoE1j4ySpOPyYTqYEXflA