New states, no states vs United States

Balaji at Network School: “we think the government should be 5% of GDP

Vs the US (what would you zero out?)

Federal spending is about 23–24% of U.S. GDP in recent years. Think of it as a big, lopsided pie with a fondness for retirees and missiles. The rough allocation looks like this:

Elderly:

Around 10% of GDP.

This includes Social Security (~5% GDP) and Medicare (~5% GDP). America’s fiscal metabolism is geriatric-centric; these two dominate everything else.

Poor / Income Support:

Roughly 2–3% of GDP.

This covers programs like SNAP, the Earned Income Tax Credit, housing vouchers, TANF, SSI for the disabled poor, and other means-tested transfers. It’s much smaller than political rhetoric suggests.

Sick (non-elderly health care):

About 2% of GDP.

Primarily Medicaid for non-elderly recipients, plus ACA subsidies. Medicaid is half elderly/disabled and half low-income adults and kids; this bucket is the non-elderly portion.

Security / Defense:

Roughly 3% of GDP.

This is the Pentagon’s world: personnel, procurement, R&D, operations. Add another ~0.3% for homeland security and veterans’ health if you want a more expansive definition.

“Everything Else”:

Around 5–6% of GDP.

This grab-bag covers the civil service, transportation, science, education, diplomacy, agriculture, energy, courts, and the machinery that keeps a continental republic humming—basically the part everyone forgets exists.

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